Scientists Reveal 86% Chance Earth Will Cross Critical Temperature Threshold
Scientists Predict 86% Chance of Temperatures Exceeding 1.5ยฐC Threshold in Next Five Years Global temperatures are projected to exceed 1.5ยฐC above pre-industrial levels during the next five years, according to new scientific analysis. Following 2024's record temperatures that temporarily surpassed the 1.5ยฐC threshold established by international climate agreements, climate predictions indicate an 86% probability that another year within the next five will reach similar levels. The analysis conducted by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and the UK's Met Office calculates a 70% probability that the five-year global temperature average will exceed 1.5ยฐC above pre-industrial levels. Research shows an 80% probability that at least one year between 2025 and 2029 will establish a new global temperature record. Climate models indicate, for the first time, a possibility that global average temperatures could surpass 2ยฐC above pre-industrial levels before 2030, although researchers note […]